For the past couple weeks, we’ve been looking at how key economic indicators cause mortgage rates to move up and down, and why home owners, buyers and refinancers, should follow along. In this last installment of series, we take a look at three housing reports that indicate the health of the economy.
Home prices are a huge indicator of how the economy as a whole is performing. The Case-Shiller Index is actually comprised of four indices; the National Home Price Index, 20-city composite index, 10-city composite index and 20 individual metro indices. These indices track the changes in price for sales of the same single-family homes over time in large markets throughout the country. It is published on the last Tuesday of each month and has a two-month lag time, so the index released in March will show data from February and January.
The Case-Shiller Index tells us whether home prices are increasing or decreasing throughout the country, and keeping an eye on the data could help you better time your purchase. If prices are increasing, you may decide to purchase quickly while your preferred home is within budget. Conversely, you may choose to hold off a little longer in hopes of a better deal if prices seem to be on their way down.
For more information on The Case-Shiller Index, click here.
MBA Purchase Index
Each week, the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) releases its Purchase Index, which measures the amount of home loan applications submitted nationwide – different from the number of homes purchased or loans closed – and is reported as a percentage increase or decrease from the previous week. The index reports on the factors that influence mortgage applications, such as interest rates, home prices, credit availability and all-cash homebuyers.
The MBA Purchase Index is considered to be one of the leading indicators of the health of the housing market. It helps housing economists and homebuilders forecast home sales, and lenders use the index to gauge the amount of applications they are receiving compared to the overall U.S. mortgage activity.
New Residential Construction Report
Every month, the U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) issue the New Residential Construction Report. This report is derived from surveys of homebuilders nationwide and includes data on housing starts, building permits and housing completions. Similar to the MBA’s Purchase Index, this data is presented as a percentage change from the prior month and year-over-year period.
Housing starts and building permits are considered leading indicators of growth for the housing industry and the data provides insight into the current state of the economy. Increases in new residential construction means there’s a higher demand for homes to purchase, which often leads to homebuyers spending more money on other consumer durable goods, such as home appliances and furniture. The more homes being built, the healthier the market .
To view the latest New Residential Construction Report, click here.
Want to know the latest on how these reports are impacting rates? Feel free to contact a trusted RPM loan advisors who will explain it in simple terms so you can better understand your financing options and make the choices that are right for you.